Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steen wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 49.1% vs Carter 51.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Steen 82.9%
Neutral zone
Steen 68.5%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Steen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Steen
Carter
Last 6: Steen 1-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Steen
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Steen
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (400)
52.0% (471)
-1.5%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
55.3% (132)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (105)
43.9% (41)
+1.8%
On power play, Carter has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Steen is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Steen shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Steen
Carter
Home
52.7% (260)
53.6% (330)
Away
45.6% (281)
50.6% (314)
By Period
Steen
Carter
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
45.0%
55.6%
P3
50.9%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |