Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Steen wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 45.7% vs Pavelski 54.5% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Steen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 93.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 88.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Steen
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Steen
Pavelski
Last 10: Steen 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Steen
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
6
0
Steen
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Steen
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (251)
53.6% (657)
-5.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.2% (221)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (100)
51.7% (60)
-15.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Steen is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Steen shoots left. Pavelski is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Steen
Pavelski
Home
46.5% (213)
57.4% (470)
Away
41.7% (144)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Steen
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
53.4%
P2
43.2%
55.6%
P3
38.2%
55.5%
OT
62.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |