Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Steen wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 46.8% vs Ward 48.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 55.4%
Defensive zone
Steen 55.3%
Neutral zone
Steen 53.2%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Steen
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Steen
Ward
Last 9: Steen 3-6 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Steen
Ward
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Steen
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
4
Steen
Ward
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,569)
51.3% (1,186)
-3.4%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
53.4% (238)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (433)
35.5% (366)
+7.0%
On power play, Ward has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Steen is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Steen shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Steen
Ward
Home
48.1% (1,059)
50.3% (870)
Away
45.3% (1,027)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Steen
Ward
P1
47.6%
47.6%
P2
45.5%
47.5%
P3
46.8%
50.3%
OT
48.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.7%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Joel Ward |