Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 50.3% vs Staal 55.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 55.2%
Defensive zone
Steen 77.7%
Neutral zone
Steen 64.5%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Steen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Steen
Staal
Last 7: Steen 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Steen
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Steen
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steen
2
1
Steen
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (317)
56.6% (769)
-8.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
60.2% (98)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (110)
27.8% (18)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Steen has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Steen is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Steen shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Steen
Staal
Home
47.2% (176)
57.8% (510)
Away
52.5% (257)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Steen
Staal
P1
50.0%
55.1%
P2
50.0%
56.8%
P3
52.1%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |