Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Steen wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 43.5% vs Duchene 61.5% (-21.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 77.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Steen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Steen
Duchene
Last 8: Steen 4-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steen
1
0
Steen
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
3
2
Steen
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Steen
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (199)
62.2% (802)
-21.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
67.3% (153)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
59.4% (143)
-20.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Steen is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Steen shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Steen
Duchene
Home
43.3% (134)
66.5% (555)
Away
38.1% (113)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Steen
Duchene
P1
31.2%
63.2%
P2
48.4%
59.6%
P3
42.6%
65.0%
OT
28.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
37.7%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
40.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |