Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steen wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 50.3% vs Koivu 54.9% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 83.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 71.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Steen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Steen
Koivu
Last 6: Steen 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Steen
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
3
1
Steen
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steen
1
0
Steen
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (317)
55.3% (1,268)
-7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
57.6% (321)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (110)
51.0% (202)
+4.5%
On power play, Steen has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Steen is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Steen shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Steen
Koivu
Home
47.2% (176)
58.3% (906)
Away
52.5% (257)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Steen
Koivu
P1
50.0%
53.0%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
52.1%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
64.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |