Alexander Steen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 43.5% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.2%
Neutral zone
Steen 50.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Steen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Steen
MacKinnon
Last 6: Steen 3-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
2
1
Steen
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Steen
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (199)
49.3% (1,167)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
61.0% (187)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
47.9% (167)
-8.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Steen is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Steen shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Steen
MacKinnon
Home
43.3% (134)
57.7% (728)
Away
38.1% (113)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Steen
MacKinnon
P1
31.2%
50.1%
P2
48.4%
52.5%
P3
42.6%
49.3%
OT
28.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
37.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
40.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |