Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.3%). Look for Steen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 47.4% vs Spaling 46.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 52.8%
Defensive zone
Spaling 59.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 56.0%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Steen
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Steen
Spaling
Last 5: Steen 3-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steen
1
0
Steen
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Steen
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steen
2
1
Steen
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (177)
48.4% (419)
-0.4%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
30.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
32.1% (53)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Steen has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Steen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Steen shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Steen
Spaling
Home
51.3% (117)
52.2% (251)
Away
39.1% (87)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Steen
Spaling
P1
47.1%
40.6%
P2
43.1%
43.9%
P3
47.8%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |