Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 49.1% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.4%
Defensive zone
Steen 68.8%
Neutral zone
Steen 52.5%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Steen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Steen
O'Reilly
Last 5: Steen 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Steen
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
2
0
Steen
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Steen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (400)
51.5% (194)
-1.0%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
52.3% (107)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (105)
51.4% (70)
-5.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Steen is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Steen shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Steen
O'Reilly
Home
52.7% (260)
50.3% (185)
Away
45.6% (281)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Steen
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
51.0%
P2
45.0%
48.9%
P3
50.9%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |