Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 49.1% vs Johnson 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 55.7%
Defensive zone
Steen 59.4%
Neutral zone
Steen 50.6%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Steen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Steen
Johnson
Last 7: Steen 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steen
2
1
Steen
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
3
0
Steen
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Steen
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (400)
48.7% (941)
+1.8%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
49.6% (133)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (105)
44.8% (201)
+0.9%
On power play, Johnson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Steen is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Steen shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Steen
Johnson
Home
52.7% (260)
50.5% (588)
Away
45.6% (281)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Steen
Johnson
P1
51.1%
49.4%
P2
45.0%
47.3%
P3
50.9%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |