Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Steen wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 50.3% vs Seguin 53.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Steen 52.7%
Defensive zone
Steen 66.6%
Neutral zone
Steen 60.1%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Steen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Steen
Seguin
Last 10: Steen 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Steen
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Steen
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Steen
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (317)
53.9% (482)
-5.6%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
35.3% (17)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (110)
75.0% (12)
-19.5%
On power play, Steen has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Steen is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Steen shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Steen
Seguin
Home
47.2% (176)
58.9% (231)
Away
52.5% (257)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Steen
Seguin
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
48.5%
P3
52.1%
61.7%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |