Alexander True vs Johan Larsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for True on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). True wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Larsson 49.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
True 71.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.0%
Neutral zone
True 50.5%
Result
Alexander True favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
True
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
True
Larsson
Last 5: True 2-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
True
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: True
2
1
True
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (138)
50.5% (4,382)
-5.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.7% (153)
-47.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
43.8% (714)
-43.8%
On power play, Larsson has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. True is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
True shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
True
Larsson
Home
46.4% (69)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
40.0% (75)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
True
Larsson
P1
48.1%
51.6%
P2
40.4%
49.7%
P3
40.0%
47.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
43.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Alexander True |