Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for True on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). True wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Larsson 48.8% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
True 62.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.2%
Result
Alexander True favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
True
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
True
Larsson
Last 5: True 2-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
True
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: True
2
1
True
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (44)
50.2% (504)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
41.7% (96)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. True is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (37).
True shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
True
Larsson
Home
38.7% (31)
48.2% (272)
Away
35.3% (17)
49.0% (337)
By Period
True
Larsson
P1
46.7%
48.6%
P2
33.3%
56.1%
P3
33.3%
41.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
37.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Alexander True |