Alexander Wennberg vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.5%). Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Wennberg wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Stepan 46.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 33-26 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.6%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 50.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Wennberg
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
26
(59 meetings)
33
26
Wennberg
Stepan
Last 10: Wennberg 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
13
3
Wennberg
Stepan
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
15
Wennberg
Stepan
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
10
8
Wennberg
Stepan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,278)
46.5% (10,204)
+0.2%
Power Play
49.4% (1,419)
48.8% (1,593)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (1,132)
44.2% (1,368)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Wennberg is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,986).
Wennberg shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Stepan
Home
47.6% (5,983)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
44.9% (5,846)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Wennberg
Stepan
P1
46.1%
47.5%
P2
46.2%
45.6%
P3
46.6%
46.8%
OT
45.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |