Alexander Wennberg vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Barzal 41.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 67.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 87.8%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 76.7%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Wennberg
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wennberg
Barzal
Last 5: Wennberg 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
40.4% (463)
+5.4%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
34.2% (38)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
28.6% (7)
+8.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wennberg is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Wennberg shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Barzal
Home
47.3% (607)
38.1% (244)
Away
44.6% (579)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Wennberg
Barzal
P1
44.5%
46.6%
P2
46.2%
35.7%
P3
47.4%
37.7%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |