Alexander Wennberg vs Mavrik Bourque
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 45.1%). Wennberg wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Bourque 46.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 54.3%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 52.3%
Neutral zone
Bourque 50.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Wennberg
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Bourque
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Bourque
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Wennberg
Bourque
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Bourque
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
47.0% (181)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
25.0% (16)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
42.9% (7)
-5.6%
On power play, Wennberg has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Wennberg is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Wennberg shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Bourque
Home
47.3% (607)
41.9% (105)
Away
44.6% (579)
48.5% (99)
By Period
Wennberg
Bourque
P1
44.5%
39.7%
P2
46.2%
39.3%
P3
47.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |