Alexander Wennberg vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 52.7%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 80.6%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 58.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Wennberg
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Wennberg
Buchnevich
Last 6: Wennberg 4-2 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Wennberg
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
4
0
Wennberg
Buchnevich
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Wennberg
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
40.5% (190)
+5.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
42.9% (14)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
30.0% (10)
+6.3%
On power play, Wennberg has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Buchnevich
Home
47.0% (621)
40.7% (118)
Away
44.7% (635)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Wennberg
Buchnevich
P1
44.7%
42.3%
P2
46.1%
37.5%
P3
47.2%
40.3%
OT
36.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |