Alexander Wennberg vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Aho 50.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 54.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 76.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 56.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Wennberg
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wennberg
Aho
Last 6: Wennberg 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Wennberg
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Wennberg
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
49.9% (851)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
53.5% (144)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
43.3% (60)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Aho
Home
47.3% (607)
53.2% (554)
Away
44.6% (579)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Wennberg
Aho
P1
44.5%
49.1%
P2
46.2%
50.8%
P3
47.4%
49.7%
OT
36.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |