Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.5% vs Oshie 50.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 75.7%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 76.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 53.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Wennberg
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wennberg
Oshie
Last 5: Wennberg 2-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Wennberg
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (524)
51.7% (58)
-4.6%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
49.1% (169)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (80)
54.5% (11)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Wennberg is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Wennberg shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Oshie
Home
47.9% (353)
51.3% (113)
Away
43.9% (319)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Wennberg
Oshie
P1
43.9%
53.8%
P2
44.0%
47.5%
P3
49.8%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |