Alexander Wennberg vs Tomas Hertl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Hertl 57.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.0%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 77.9%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 64.7%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Wennberg
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Wennberg
Hertl
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Wennberg
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Wennberg
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
58.1% (823)
-12.3%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
56.2% (265)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
62.9% (35)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Hertl
Home
47.3% (607)
59.7% (561)
Away
44.6% (579)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Wennberg
Hertl
P1
44.5%
51.6%
P2
46.2%
63.8%
P3
47.4%
58.6%
OT
36.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |