Alexander Wennberg vs Tomas Hertl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.3% vs Hertl 56.6% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 54.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 76.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 64.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Wennberg
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Wennberg
Hertl
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Wennberg
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Wennberg
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (618)
56.6% (632)
-11.8%
Power Play
52.4% (191)
58.7% (206)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (117)
63.6% (22)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Wennberg is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Wennberg shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Hertl
Home
45.5% (453)
59.7% (434)
Away
44.2% (473)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Wennberg
Hertl
P1
42.8%
51.0%
P2
43.8%
64.0%
P3
48.3%
57.8%
OT
33.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |