Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Texier wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Texier 39.0% vs Pavelski 51.8% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Texier 78.0%
Defensive zone
Texier 78.3%
Neutral zone
Texier 83.9%
Result
Alexandre Texier favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Texier
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Texier
Pavelski
Last 10: Texier 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Texier
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Texier
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
4
Texier
Pavelski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Texier
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (290)
53.5% (508)
-16.3%
Power Play
25.0% (16)
51.7% (118)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (50)
41.4% (70)
-9.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Texier is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Texier shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Texier
Pavelski
Home
42.5% (179)
54.3% (372)
Away
29.4% (177)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Texier
Pavelski
P1
37.5%
48.7%
P2
28.2%
57.7%
P3
42.2%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
28.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Texier
28.0%▼
31.0%
36.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Alexandre Texier |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Alexandre Texier |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |