Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Texier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Texier wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Texier 39.0% vs Duchene 52.9% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.0%
Defensive zone
Texier 64.7%
Neutral zone
Texier 55.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Texier
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Texier
Duchene
Last 5: Texier 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Texier
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Texier
2
1
Texier
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Texier
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (290)
55.6% (248)
-18.4%
Power Play
25.0% (16)
45.3% (53)
-20.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Texier is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Texier shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Texier
Duchene
Home
42.5% (179)
54.7% (150)
Away
29.4% (177)
53.0% (151)
By Period
Texier
Duchene
P1
37.5%
51.1%
P2
28.2%
57.8%
P3
42.2%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
28.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Texier
28.0%▼
31.0%
36.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Alexandre Texier |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |