Andreas Athanasiou vs Brock Nelson
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Athanasiou wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 44.3% vs Nelson 47.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 81.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 72.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Athanasiou
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Athanasiou
Nelson
Last 8: Athanasiou 5-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Athanasiou
2
0
Athanasiou
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Athanasiou
Nelson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (342)
47.4% (1,020)
-3.2%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
51.5% (163)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
42.9% (63)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Athanasiou is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Athanasiou shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Nelson
Home
46.0% (174)
51.0% (641)
Away
40.4% (225)
44.1% (605)
By Period
Athanasiou
Nelson
P1
48.2%
48.2%
P2
41.8%
48.1%
P3
37.9%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |