Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Athanasiou wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 45.0% vs Smith 51.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Athanasiou 78.2%
Defensive zone
Athanasiou 58.6%
Neutral zone
Athanasiou 61.5%
Result
Andreas Athanasiou favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Athanasiou
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Athanasiou
Smith
Last 5: Athanasiou 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Athanasiou
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Athanasiou
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (128)
53.6% (550)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.5% (108)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Athanasiou is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Athanasiou shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Smith
Home
36.7% (60)
56.5% (352)
Away
44.9% (69)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Athanasiou
Smith
P1
48.9%
52.0%
P2
38.9%
51.5%
P3
33.3%
52.2%
Final 5 min
38.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
41.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2016 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |