Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Athanasiou wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Athanasiou 44.3% vs Smith 49.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Athanasiou 81.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.5%
Neutral zone
Athanasiou 54.9%
Result
Andreas Athanasiou favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Athanasiou
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Athanasiou
Smith
Last 6: Athanasiou 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Athanasiou
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Athanasiou
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Athanasiou
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (342)
50.9% (666)
-6.7%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
70.0% (10)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
39.6% (144)
-19.6%
On power play, Smith has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Athanasiou is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Athanasiou shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Athanasiou
Smith
Home
46.0% (174)
50.9% (405)
Away
40.4% (225)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Athanasiou
Smith
P1
48.2%
47.1%
P2
41.8%
49.6%
P3
37.9%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Athanasiou
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andreas Athanasiou |