Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Loktionov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Loktionov wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.5% vs Little 51.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 52.4%
Defensive zone
Little 66.6%
Neutral zone
Little 55.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Loktionov
Little
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Loktionov
Little
Last 6: Loktionov 3-3 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
2
1
Loktionov
Little
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Loktionov
Little
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Loktionov
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Little
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
51.1% (628)
-13.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
52.5% (118)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (96)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Little has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Loktionov is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Loktionov shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Little
Home
39.1% (110)
51.4% (420)
Away
38.5% (96)
50.9% (422)
By Period
Loktionov
Little
P1
43.1%
50.4%
P2
43.3%
49.3%
P3
31.9%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
38.8%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |