Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Loktionov wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 43.5% vs Little 47.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 78.6%
Defensive zone
Loktionov 50.7%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 66.9%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Loktionov
Little
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Loktionov
Little
Last 5: Loktionov 1-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Loktionov
Little
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Loktionov
Little
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Loktionov
Little
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Little
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (335)
47.1% (1,168)
-5.3%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
52.6% (215)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
45.2% (270)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Little has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Loktionov is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Loktionov shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,177).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Little
Home
45.1% (153)
49.6% (829)
Away
39.4% (216)
45.4% (824)
By Period
Loktionov
Little
P1
41.8%
48.3%
P2
38.4%
44.5%
P3
45.0%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.7%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Bryan Little |