Scouting Report
Cody Hodgson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Loktionov wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.5% vs Hodgson 47.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 60.0%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 51.6%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 54.8%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Loktionov
Hodgson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Loktionov
Hodgson
Last 7: Loktionov 3-4 Hodgson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Loktionov
Hodgson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
1
0
Loktionov
Hodgson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
3
Loktionov
Hodgson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Hodgson
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
47.1% (622)
-9.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.5% (101)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
40.4% (89)
-40.4%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgson shoots right. Loktionov is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Loktionov shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Hodgson
Home
39.1% (110)
49.5% (382)
Away
38.5% (96)
44.4% (430)
By Period
Loktionov
Hodgson
P1
43.1%
48.5%
P2
43.3%
48.9%
P3
31.9%
42.5%
OT
0.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
38.8%
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |