Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Loktionov on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Loktionov wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.2% vs Staal 50.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Loktionov 50.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Loktionov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Loktionov
Staal
Last 10: Loktionov 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Loktionov
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Loktionov
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Loktionov
5
3
Loktionov
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (712)
50.5% (10,347)
-9.5%
Power Play
46.6% (58)
53.5% (2,023)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
44.2% (781)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Loktionov is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Loktionov shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Staal
Home
41.9% (358)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
40.6% (421)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Loktionov
Staal
P1
43.3%
50.0%
P2
37.8%
51.1%
P3
42.6%
50.4%
OT
25.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Eric Staal |