Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Loktionov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Loktionov wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.5% vs Staal 51.8% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 74.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Loktionov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Loktionov
Staal
Last 5: Loktionov 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Loktionov
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Loktionov
3
1
Loktionov
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
52.4% (804)
-14.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
53.5% (157)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.5% (53)
-41.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Loktionov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Loktionov shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Staal
Home
39.1% (110)
52.7% (490)
Away
38.5% (96)
51.3% (524)
By Period
Loktionov
Staal
P1
43.1%
56.4%
P2
43.3%
52.4%
P3
31.9%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
38.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |