Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Loktionov wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 43.5% vs Kesler 52.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 51.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 82.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 70.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Loktionov
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Loktionov
Kesler
Last 7: Loktionov 4-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
1
0
Loktionov
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Loktionov
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Loktionov
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (335)
53.8% (1,005)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
56.6% (205)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
42.3% (196)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Loktionov is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Loktionov shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Kesler
Home
45.1% (153)
54.1% (719)
Away
39.4% (216)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Loktionov
Kesler
P1
41.8%
53.1%
P2
38.4%
54.5%
P3
45.0%
50.3%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |