Scouting Report
Ryan Smyth holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Loktionov wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.2% vs Smyth 45.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 66.1%
Defensive zone
Loktionov 59.1%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 66.0%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Loktionov
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Loktionov
Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
2
Loktionov
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (712)
45.2% (456)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.6% (58)
51.8% (164)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
23.3% (43)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Smyth has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Loktionov is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Loktionov shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Smyth
Home
41.9% (358)
49.7% (340)
Away
40.6% (421)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Loktionov
Smyth
P1
43.3%
48.3%
P2
37.8%
41.7%
P3
42.6%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.2%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 15, 2012 | OT | 01:29 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |