Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Loktionov wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 42.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Loktionov 84.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.1%
Neutral zone
Loktionov 70.4%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Loktionov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Loktionov
Smith
Last 10: Loktionov 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
2
1
Loktionov
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
7
Loktionov
Smith
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (712)
51.6% (5,265)
-10.6%
Power Play
46.6% (58)
51.2% (342)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
45.3% (985)
-32.8%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Loktionov is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Loktionov shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Smith
Home
41.9% (358)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
40.6% (421)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Loktionov
Smith
P1
43.3%
49.9%
P2
37.8%
50.0%
P3
42.6%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Zack Smith |