Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Loktionov wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Loktionov 43.5% vs Smith 52.5% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Loktionov 74.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.3%
Result
Andrei Loktionov favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Loktionov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Loktionov
Smith
Last 8: Loktionov 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Loktionov
2
0
Loktionov
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Loktionov
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Loktionov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (335)
53.0% (1,048)
-11.2%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
57.4% (47)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (196)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Loktionov is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Loktionov shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Loktionov
Smith
Home
45.1% (153)
53.9% (629)
Away
39.4% (216)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Loktionov
Smith
P1
41.8%
50.4%
P2
38.4%
51.8%
P3
45.0%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Loktionov
36.0%▼
41.0%
41.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Andrei Loktionov |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Andrei Loktionov |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |