Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Agozzino wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Agozzino 50.0% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Agozzino 77.3%
Defensive zone
Agozzino 63.4%
Neutral zone
Agozzino 72.2%
Result
Andrew Agozzino favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Agozzino
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Agozzino
O'Reilly
Last 5: Agozzino 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Agozzino
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Agozzino
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Agozzino
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (31)
58.6% (841)
-10.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.9% (207)
+40.1%
On power play, Agozzino has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Agozzino is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Agozzino shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Agozzino
O'Reilly
Home
55.6% (18)
59.8% (594)
Away
42.9% (14)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Agozzino
O'Reilly
P1
60.0%
61.7%
P2
27.3%
56.2%
P3
63.6%
59.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Agozzino
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Andrew Agozzino |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |