Andrew Cogliano vs Andy McDonald
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — McDonald shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs McDonald 54.8% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 66.9%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 89.9%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 84.6%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Cogliano
McDonald
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cogliano
McDonald
Last 6: Cogliano 1-5 McDonald
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
McDonald
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
0
4
Cogliano
McDonald
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
McDonald
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
55.5% (436)
-13.8%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
56.5% (177)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
47.7% (44)
-8.9%
On power play, McDonald has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDonald shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Cogliano
McDonald
Home
43.4% (1,069)
54.9% (297)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
56.0% (366)
By Period
Cogliano
McDonald
P1
41.2%
58.5%
P2
37.7%
52.5%
P3
43.6%
54.1%
OT
41.5%
73.7%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |