Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Cogliano wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Little 46.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Little leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 64.7%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 68.9%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 68.0%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Cogliano
Little
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cogliano
Little
Last 10: Cogliano 3-7 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
6
Cogliano
Little
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
0
Cogliano
Little
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
2
Cogliano
Little
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Little
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
46.6% (982)
-5.0%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
52.4% (166)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
37.6% (170)
+3.3%
On power play, Little has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Cogliano is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Cogliano shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Little
Home
43.7% (572)
48.6% (623)
Away
39.4% (536)
44.2% (708)
By Period
Cogliano
Little
P1
39.2%
46.3%
P2
37.4%
44.2%
P3
48.2%
48.1%
OT
38.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Bryan Little |