Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Belanger 54.8% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 57.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 80.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 77.6%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Cogliano
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cogliano
Belanger
Last 5: Cogliano 3-2 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Belanger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
1
Cogliano
Belanger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
1
Cogliano
Belanger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
57.4% (754)
-13.2%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
49.0% (49)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
49.5% (196)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Belanger has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Belanger
Home
50.0% (188)
55.5% (519)
Away
34.3% (198)
55.1% (488)
By Period
Cogliano
Belanger
P1
44.0%
53.1%
P2
41.3%
58.0%
P3
40.5%
54.5%
OT
44.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |