Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cogliano wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Iginla shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Iginla 53.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 94.0%
Defensive zone
Iginla 52.9%
Neutral zone
Iginla 71.6%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Cogliano
Iginla
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cogliano
Iginla
Last 9: Cogliano 6-3 Iginla
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
0
1
Cogliano
Iginla
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
5
1
Cogliano
Iginla
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Iginla
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Iginla
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
54.4% (259)
-12.8%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
55.1% (147)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
27.3% (11)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Cogliano has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Iginla shoots right. Cogliano is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Cogliano shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Iginla
Home
43.7% (572)
61.1% (203)
Away
39.4% (536)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Cogliano
Iginla
P1
39.2%
57.6%
P2
37.4%
50.4%
P3
48.2%
56.2%
OT
38.9%
31.3%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |