Andrew Cogliano vs Jason Arnott
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Arnott 50.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 81.5%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 92.5%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 86.4%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Cogliano
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
18
(24 meetings)
6
18
Cogliano
Arnott
Last 10: Cogliano 3-7 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
4
Cogliano
Arnott
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cogliano
Arnott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
11
Cogliano
Arnott
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
49.7% (1,444)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
53.8% (182)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
40.0% (15)
-1.2%
On power play, Arnott has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Arnott
Home
43.4% (1,069)
52.1% (891)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Cogliano
Arnott
P1
41.2%
46.1%
P2
37.7%
53.6%
P3
43.6%
50.1%
OT
41.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
38.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |