Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Slater 56.7% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Slater 58.3%
Defensive zone
Slater 82.8%
Neutral zone
Slater 79.1%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Cogliano
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cogliano
Slater
Last 5: Cogliano 3-2 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
0
Cogliano
Slater
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Cogliano
Slater
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
58.9% (1,983)
-17.2%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
65.2% (46)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
51.4% (722)
-12.6%
On power play, Slater has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Slater
Home
43.4% (1,069)
60.9% (1,436)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
52.7% (1,329)
By Period
Cogliano
Slater
P1
41.2%
57.0%
P2
37.7%
55.6%
P3
43.6%
58.4%
OT
41.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jim Slater |