Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Slater 54.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 57.1%
Defensive zone
Slater 86.2%
Neutral zone
Slater 79.9%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Cogliano
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cogliano
Slater
Last 5: Cogliano 3-2 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
0
Cogliano
Slater
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Cogliano
Slater
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
55.5% (884)
-11.3%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
68.0% (25)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
50.0% (246)
-14.2%
On power play, Slater has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Cogliano is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Cogliano shoots left. Slater is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Slater
Home
50.0% (188)
58.1% (594)
Away
34.3% (198)
50.6% (571)
By Period
Cogliano
Slater
P1
44.0%
53.6%
P2
41.3%
52.3%
P3
40.5%
57.2%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jim Slater |