Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Turris 50.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 69.0%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 83.2%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 79.8%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Cogliano
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cogliano
Turris
Last 10: Cogliano 3-7 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Cogliano
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
0
Cogliano
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
5
Cogliano
Turris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
50.2% (7,653)
-8.5%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
52.4% (1,312)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
48.6% (580)
-9.8%
On power play, Turris has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Turris
Home
43.4% (1,069)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Cogliano
Turris
P1
41.2%
51.5%
P2
37.7%
50.8%
P3
43.6%
48.4%
OT
41.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |