Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cogliano wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Turris 50.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 85.9%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 67.3%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Cogliano
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cogliano
Turris
Last 9: Cogliano 3-6 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Cogliano
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
0
Cogliano
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
5
Cogliano
Turris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
51.1% (452)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
48.1% (79)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
20.0% (5)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Cogliano has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Cogliano is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Cogliano shoots left. Turris is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Turris
Home
43.7% (572)
52.9% (261)
Away
39.4% (536)
47.3% (279)
By Period
Cogliano
Turris
P1
39.2%
49.7%
P2
37.4%
52.7%
P3
48.2%
47.3%
OT
38.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |