Scouting Report
Mike Modano holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Modano on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Modano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Modano 48.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 70.2%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 63.0%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Cogliano
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cogliano
Modano
Last 6: Cogliano 2-4 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Modano
1
3
Cogliano
Modano
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Modano
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
47.7% (266)
-6.0%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
100.0% (5)
-58.0%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
0.0% (2)
+38.8%
On power play, Modano has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Modano
Home
43.4% (1,069)
51.1% (139)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Cogliano
Modano
P1
41.2%
52.6%
P2
37.7%
42.3%
P3
43.6%
51.9%
OT
41.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |