Scouting Report
Mike Modano holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Modano on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Modano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Modano 48.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 51.0%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 77.3%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 62.2%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Cogliano
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cogliano
Modano
Last 6: Cogliano 2-4 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Modano
1
3
Cogliano
Modano
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Modano
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
47.7% (266)
-6.1%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
100.0% (5)
-56.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
0.0% (2)
+40.9%
On power play, Modano has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Modano
Home
43.7% (572)
51.1% (139)
Away
39.4% (536)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Cogliano
Modano
P1
39.2%
52.6%
P2
37.4%
42.3%
P3
48.2%
51.9%
OT
38.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |