Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Richards 49.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 69.7%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 71.0%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 71.0%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Cogliano
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cogliano
Richards
Last 7: Cogliano 2-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Cogliano
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Cogliano
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
47.9% (943)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
61.1% (157)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
52.9% (102)
-12.0%
On power play, Richards has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Richards is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Richards
Home
43.7% (572)
50.9% (617)
Away
39.4% (536)
48.7% (599)
By Period
Cogliano
Richards
P1
39.2%
45.4%
P2
37.4%
52.5%
P3
48.2%
51.3%
OT
38.9%
55.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |