Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs Nichol 56.2% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 50.9%
Defensive zone
Nichol 55.0%
Neutral zone
Nichol 56.6%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Cogliano
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cogliano
Nichol
Last 6: Cogliano 3-3 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Cogliano
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
1
Cogliano
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
58.0% (371)
-13.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
25.0% (4)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
57.3% (75)
-21.5%
On power play, Cogliano has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Cogliano is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Cogliano shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Nichol
Home
50.0% (188)
58.6% (215)
Away
34.3% (198)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Cogliano
Nichol
P1
44.0%
56.1%
P2
41.3%
58.4%
P3
40.5%
57.8%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |