Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs Oshie 46.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 86.5%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 86.5%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 63.0%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Cogliano
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cogliano
Oshie
Last 9: Cogliano 3-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
3
Cogliano
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cogliano
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Cogliano
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
45.2% (764)
-3.5%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
47.7% (1,221)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
40.2% (164)
-1.4%
On power play, Oshie has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Cogliano is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (703).
Cogliano shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Oshie
Home
43.4% (1,069)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Cogliano
Oshie
P1
41.2%
47.3%
P2
37.7%
45.2%
P3
43.6%
46.7%
OT
41.5%
40.8%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |