Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Oshie 45.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 51.9%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 78.7%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 61.4%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Cogliano
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cogliano
Oshie
Last 9: Cogliano 3-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
3
Cogliano
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cogliano
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Cogliano
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
46.8% (186)
-5.2%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
25.0% (16)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
36.0% (25)
+4.9%
On power play, Cogliano has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Cogliano is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Cogliano shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Oshie
Home
43.7% (572)
47.2% (106)
Away
39.4% (536)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Cogliano
Oshie
P1
39.2%
55.6%
P2
37.4%
40.8%
P3
48.2%
37.5%
OT
38.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |